12 Dec

Exciting News for Mortgage Shoppers: Fixed Rates Drop Below 5%

General

Posted by: James L James

Mortgage rates in Canada are experiencing a notable drop, with fixed rates below 5% for the first time since spring. The decline follows a substantial drop in bond yields, prompting mortgage providers to cut rates by 20-30 basis points. For instance, Butler Mortgage now offers a market-leading insured 5-year fixed rate at 4.99%, specifically for purchases with a down payment below 20%. Despite concerns about rates not falling as quickly as bond yields, experts believe the recent rate cuts could alleviate worries about the impending “renewal cliff” faced by borrowers as mortgages worth hundreds of billions are set to renew in the coming years.

The latest developments are easing concerns about rising mortgage rates, as evidenced by notable decreases in fixed rates. The 5-year fixed rates are now below 5%, a welcome change for borrowers who had witnessed rising rates over the past year. Bond yields have played a key role in driving these rate cuts, with a 38 basis points drop in the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield. Major mortgage providers, including big banks like Scotiabank and CIBC, have reduced rates by 20-30 basis points, translating to lower monthly payments for borrowers. The drop in rates is helping mitigate the impact of the “renewal cliff,” providing relief to borrowers facing substantial payment increases in the near future.

However, some experts note that the pace of rate drops might not be commensurate with the decline in bond yields. Despite the 100 basis points drop in bond yields, fixed rates are not decreasing as rapidly. Factors such as risk premiums and profit-taking by lenders are contributing to this phenomenon. Mortgage brokers emphasize the importance of a slow and sustained easing in bond yields for continued rate decreases. While concerns about the “renewal cliff” persist, the ongoing rate drops are seen as a positive development that could potentially soften the impact on borrowers facing mortgage renewals in the coming years.

Published By Steve Huebl

https://www.canadianmortgagetrends.com/2023/12/mortgage-rates-under-5-theyre-coming-back-as-lenders-slash-fixed-rates/

5 Dec

Encouraging News on Canadian Inflation Front: Signs Point to Policy Rates Peaking, Paving the Way for Positive Economic Outlook

General

Posted by: James L James

The latest inflation report reveals positive developments, with the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a decrease in year-over-year inflation to 3.1%, attributed to a decline in gasoline prices. Notably, rent prices accelerated, particularly in Nova Scotia, Alberta, British Columbia, and Quebec. Property taxes also rose, marking the highest national increase since October 1992. Despite these challenges, the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy appears effective in curbing inflation, with expectations of rate cuts in the second quarter of the next year, given the anticipated economic slowdown.

The inflation data indicates a successful impact of tighter monetary policy, leading to a decrease in the inflation rate. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem, closely monitoring underlying price pressures, has suggested that today’s news supports the view that policy rates have peaked. The Bank’s inflation projections have been adjusted, with the expectation of hitting the 2% inflation target in the second half of 2025. Given the current economic scenario and the upcoming GDP and Labor Force Survey releases, the likelihood of rate cuts in the second quarter of the following year is emphasized.

Economists at BMO highlight a regional variation in inflation rates, noting stabilization in several provinces, though Quebec and Ontario face higher rates. The overall assessment is that there is no immediate need for further rate hikes, and the Bank could potentially consider interest rate cuts in the second quarter of the upcoming year, influenced by the encouraging signs of stabilization in a significant portion of the country.

Published by Sherry Cooper

https://sherrycooper.com/articles/canadian-inflation-dips-to-3-8-keeping-boc-on-the-sidelines-2/